智能技术是否助力“抢人大战”? ——城市移动政务对流动人口定居意愿影响研究
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C911

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科技创新2030—“新一代人工智能”重大项目课题五(2020AAA0105405)、课题二(2020AAA0105402);国家自科基金面上项目(72074134);国家自科基金创新群体项目(71721002);清华大学自主科研项目(2019THZWYY04)。


What Is the Performance of the City’s “Scramble for People” by Means of Smart Technologies? ——Does Mobile Government Enhance the Settlement Intention of Floating Population?
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    摘要:

    地方政府大力引入移动政务服务是否助力“抢人大战”,是中国城市高质量发展阶段值得研究的议题。基于新公共服务理论与人口迁移理论,匹配支付宝“城市服务”多源移动政务数据与中国流动人口动态监测调查数据,目的在于检验城市移动政务发展水平对增强城市流动人口定居意愿的影响。结果发现:移动政务发展水平越高,该城市流动人口定居意愿越强;控制个体特征、家庭随迁、地域流动等影响后,移动政务发展水平对流动人口定居意愿的促进作用仍然稳健;调节效应模型估计结果发现,年龄较大、已经购房、跨省流动、收入水平较高、教育水平较高的流动人口更容易感受到移动政务服务的便民性,从而提升定居意愿。研究成果在理论上有利于增进对移动政务对人口迁移作用机制的理解,在实践上有利于为政府或政策制定者通过智能技术进一步优化公共服务结构提供经验依据。

    Abstract:

    Whether the introduction of mobile government services by local governments contributes to the “scramble for people” is a topic worthy of study in the high-quality development stage of Chinese cities. Based on the new public service theory and population migration theory, this paper matches the multi-source mobile government data based on alipay’s “urban service” at the city level with the dynamic monitoring survey data of China’s floating population, in order to test the impact of the development level of urban mobile government on enhancing the willingness of urban floating population to settle down. The results show that the higher the level of urban mobile government development, the stronger the willingness of urban floating population to settle down. After controlling the influence of individual characteristics, family migration and regional mobility, the effect of mobile government development level on floating population’s willingness to settle down is still stable. The estimation results of the moderating effect model show that the floating population with older age, house purchase, inter-provincial mobility, higher income level and higher education level are more likely to experience the convenience of mobile government services. In theory, this paper is beneficial to improve the understanding of the impact of intelligent technology public service on population migration behavior, and in practice, it is beneficial to provide empirical basis for the government or policy makers to further optimize the structure of public service through intelligent technology.

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苏竣,孙浩,汝鹏,马亮.智能技术是否助力“抢人大战”? ——城市移动政务对流动人口定居意愿影响研究[J].中国软科学,2022,(7):48-57

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-10-03
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