中国供给侧结构性改革的绩效评价研究
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F120.4

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国家社会科学基金后期资助项目“新时代中国高质量发展道路研究”(19FJLB011)。


Research on performance evaluation of China’s supply-side structural reform
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    摘要:

    始于2015年末的供给侧结构性改革已开展6年有余,作为“十三五”时期经济工作的主线,对其进行绩效评价研究具有极为重要的现实意义。利用“三去一降一补”五维度分析框架,融入供给侧结构性改革的延伸内容,构建指标体系,在全国层面和区域层面上对我国2016—2019年的供给侧结构性改革进行绩效评价研究。结果发现:经过“十三五”时期的“三去一降一补”,我国供给侧整体状况明显好转;不同地区的改革绩效差异显著;房地产库存压力较大、非金融企业杠杆率过高、区域发展不平衡等问题仍旧突出。在新发展阶段,我国应进一步深化供给侧结构性改革,通过大力培育高质量发展的创新新动能、加速构建和优化数字经济发展环境、完善供给侧结构性改革与需求侧管理的动态协同,提升我国供给体系的整体韧性。

    Abstract:

    Since the end of 2015, the supply-side structural reform has been carried out for more than six years. As the main line of national economic work in the “13th Five-Year Plan”, it is of great practical significance to conduct performance evaluation research on it. Using a five-dimension analysis framework of “three cuts, one reduction and one improvement”, we build an indicator system to evaluate the supply-side structural reform performance from 2016 to 2019 both in national level and provincial level. The results show that, after the “three cuts, one reduction and one improvement” in the “13th Five-Year Plan”, the overall situation of China’s supply side has been obviously improved. However, the reform performance varies significantly with regions. Besides, problems, such as large pressure of real estate inventories and excessively high leverage ratio of non-financial enterprises, are still existed. In the New Development Stage, China’s policy orientation to deepen supply-side structural reform at least includes the following three contents: (1) Cultivate innovative new drivers of high-quality development; (2) Accelerate the construction of the digital economy environment; (3) Improve the dynamic coordination between the supply-side structural reform and the demand-side management.

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任保平,苗新宇.中国供给侧结构性改革的绩效评价研究[J].中国软科学,2022,(8):19-30

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-10-03
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