数字经济对“一带一路”沿线国家创新绩效的影响研究
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F49

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国家社科基金重大项目“互联网融合产业经济理论与政策研究”(17ZDA054)。


Research on the impact of digital economy on the innovation performance of countries along “the Belt and Road”
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    摘要:

    利用2010—2018年“一带一路”沿线40个样本国家的面板数据从整体层面和区域层面两个维度就数字经济对创新绩效的影响机制、空间溢出效应和非线性效应进行了实证检验。研究发现:(1)数字经济能够显著提升“一带一路”沿线国家的创新绩效,已成为目前“一带一路”沿线国家创新绩效提升的重要驱动力;(2)数字经济能够通过促进产业结构升级间接提升“一带一路”沿线国家的创新绩效;(3)数字经济的创新溢出效应具有正向且显著的“边际效应”递增的非线性特点,并且产业结构升级还能够正向强化数字经济的非线性创新溢出;(4)数字经济对“一带一路”沿线国家创新绩效的促进作用存在区域异质性,对欧洲地区样本国家的促进作用明显高于亚洲、非洲地区的样本国家。基于实证结论,提出推进“一带一路”沿线国家数字经济发展进程与创新绩效提升的对策建议。

    Abstract:

    Based on the panel data of 40 sample countries along “the Belt and Road” from 2010 to 2018, this paper conducts an empirical test on the influence mechanism and spatial spillovers and nonlinear effect of digital economy on innovation performance from the overall and regional dimensions. The results show that :(1) Digital economy can significantly improve the innovation performance of the countries along “the Belt and Road”, and has become an important driving force for the improvement of innovation performance of the countries along “the Belt and Road”. (2) Digital economy can indirectly improve the innovation performance of countries along “the Belt and Road” by accelerating the upgrading of industrial structure. (3) The innovation spillover effect of digital economy has the nonlinear characteristics of positive and significant increase of “marginal effect”, and the industrial structure upgrading as a mediating factor can also positively strengthen the nonlinear innovation spillover effect of digital economy. (4) There is regional heterogeneity in the promotion effect of digital economy on the innovation performance of countries along “the Belt and Road”, and the innovation dividend of digital economy in sample countries in Europe is obviously higher than that in sample countries in Asia and Africa. Based on the empirical conclusion, the paper puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions to promote the development process of digital economy and innovation performance of countries along “the Belt and Road”.

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李晓钟,毛芳婷.数字经济对“一带一路”沿线国家创新绩效的影响研究[J].中国软科学,2023,(1):40-50

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-08-24
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