城镇化进程中的城市人口扩张与土地扩张:特征事实与协调机制
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F061.5

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Population growth and land expansion of city during the urbanization: Characteristic facts and coordination mechanism
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    摘要:

    中国在城镇化进程中城市土地扩张速度快于人口扩张速度,但不同规模城市表现不尽相同,人口规模较大城市土地扩张相对慢、人口增长相对快,而较小城市则反之。构建一个关于人口与土地扩张协调机制的分析框架,提出不协调主要是土地和劳动力两种要素供给弹性的大小和变化不一致所导致。实证分析发现:总体上城市土地供给弹性高于劳动供给弹性,这导致土地扩张快于人口扩张;在发展趋势上,城市土地供给弹性在下降,而劳动供给弹性在提高;分城市看,较大城市土地供给弹性低于较小城市,而劳动供给弹性则相差不大。基于此,提出改变不协调状况的根本途径在于深化户籍和土地制度改革,特别是要增强两种制度的协同性。

    Abstract:

    In the process of urbanization, China’s urban land expansion is faster than that of population expansion, but the performance of cities of different sizes is different. The land expansion of larger cities is relatively slow and the population growth is relatively fast, while the opposite is true for smaller cities. This paper constructs an analytical framework on the coordination mechanism of population and land expansion, and points out that the incongruity is mainly caused by the inconsistent size and change of the supply elasticity of land and labor. The empirical analysis shows that the elasticity of urban land supply is higher than that of labor supply, which leads to the land expansion faster than the population expansion; In the development trend, the elasticity of urban land supply is declining, while the elasticity of labor supply is increasing; with different types of cities, the elasticity of land supply in larger cities is lower than that in smaller cities, while the elasticity of labor supply is similar. At the end of this paper, the fundamental way to change the uncoordinated situation is to deepen the reform of registered residence and land system, and strengthen their coordination.

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蔡翼飞.城镇化进程中的城市人口扩张与土地扩张:特征事实与协调机制[J].中国软科学,2023,(1):84-93

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-08-24
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