改革开放以来中国贸易结构测度、演变及空间格局研究
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F720

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国家社科基金青年项目“制造业服务化对我国价值链升级的指标测度、形成机理及效应分析研究”(19CJY025)。


Research on measurement, evolution and spatial pattern of China’s trade structure since reform and open up
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    摘要:

    贸易结构反映一国对外经济的比较优势与产业发展水平,优化贸易结构将有助于提高国际竞争力,夯实产业布局,深化与世界经济体贸易合作。选取1995—2018年6个关键节点,引入技术要素测度出口产品附加值,研究改革开放以来中国对外贸易结构的变迁和空间格局演变。结果发现:(1)我国出口产品组逐渐向中高端区域移动,但出口份额最大的产品组仍集中在低附加值区域;资本输出份额提高,消费品的进口长期处于低位;在空间格局上,中国与世界各地的联系强度不断加强,但在北美和欧洲地区出现一定的弱化势头。(2)信息技术、制度质量、教育、基础设施建设对一国的贸易结构升级至关重要。在此基础上,针对我国贸易结构优化升级与高水平开放提供政策建议。

    Abstract:

    Trade structure reflects the development of a country’s industries and the comparative advantage in the world. Optimizing trade structure will help improve international competitiveness, consolidate industrial layout and deepen trade cooperation with other countries. This paper selects six key nodes from 1995 to 2018, introduces technical elements to measure the value added of export products, and studies the changes of China’s foreign trade structure and spatial pattern since the reform and opening up. The results show that: (1) China’s export product groups are gradually moving to the middle and high-level areas, but the product groups with the largest export share are still concentrated in the low value-added areas; The share of capital output has increased, and the import of consumer goods has been at a low level for a long time; In the spatial pattern, the contact strength between China and the rest of the world is increasing, but it is weakening in North America and Europe. (2) Information technology, system quality, education and infrastructure construction are crucial to the upgrading of a country’s trade structure. Finally, this paper provides suggestions for the optimization and upgrading of China’s trade structure and high-level opening up.

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王思语,昌忠泽,韩子月.改革开放以来中国贸易结构测度、演变及空间格局研究[J].中国软科学,2023,(2):23-34

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-08-24
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