气候变化背景下流域治理的模式转型与对策研究:基于“抗解性”理论视角
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TV213.9

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国家社会科学基金重点项目“基于人与自然耦合系统的黄河流域城市群高质量发展研究”(21AZD043);国家社会科学基金重大项目“健全国土空间规划和用途统筹协调管控制度研究”(20ZDA086)。


Paradigm shift and countermeasures of basin governance in the context of climate change:Based on the perspective of “wicked” theory
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    摘要:

    流域治理是国家治理能力和治理体系现代化的重要内容,气候变化背景下流域治理面临深度不确定性、价值多元性和制度复杂性等诸多挑战,“以确定性寻求”为致思的传统流域治理模式面临的理论局限与实践限度日趋显著。“抗解性”理论的兴起与发展为深度不确定情景下的流域治理提供了有益镜鉴。基于“抗解性”理论视角,分析流域治理面临的科学认知困境、协作治理困境和制度设计困境等抗解困境,从“认知—方法—技术—机制”四维协同视角提出推进我国流域治理模式转型的对策建议,即在认知层面提升气候变化对流域影响的科学辨识,在方法层面推进增量型适应向变革型适应转型,在技术层面促进面向深度不确定性的技术应用,在机制层面加快构建以流域共同体为中心的流域治理架构,全方位促进流域治理模式转型和治理能力现代化的提升。

    Abstract:

    Basin governance is an important issue in the modernization of national governance capacity and system. In the context of climate change, basin governance faces many challenges such as deep uncertainty, value pluralism and institutional complexity, and the traditional basin governance model of “certainty seeking” is facing increasingly significant theoretical limitations and practical limits. The emergence and development of “wicked” theory provides useful insights for basin governance under deep uncertainty. Based on the perspective of “wicked” theory, we analyze the scientific cognitive dilemma, collaborative governance dilemma and institutional design dilemma faced by watershed governance, and propose countermeasures to transform the watershed governance model from the perspective of “cognitive-method-technical-mechanical” four-dimensional synergy. In the cognitive level, the scientific understanding of climate change impacts on watersheds should be improved; in the methodological level, the transition from incremental adaptation to transformative adaptation should be promoted; in the technical level, the application of technologies for deep uncertainty should be promoted; and in the mechanism level, the construction of a basin governance structure centered on the basin community should be accelerated, so as to promote the transformation of basin governance model and the modernization of governance capacity.

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武占云,单菁菁,魏后凯.气候变化背景下流域治理的模式转型与对策研究:基于“抗解性”理论视角[J].中国软科学,2023,(5):88-98

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-08-24
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