“一带一路”工业机器人贸易网络特征及演化机制
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F062.9;F061.5

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国家社会科学基金重大招标项目“共生理论视角下中国与‘一带一路’国家间产业转移模式与路径研究”(17ZDA046);国家自然科学基金面上项目“中美贸易摩擦背景下‘一带一路’区域生产网络的演变机理、动态模拟及调控政策研究”(71973041)。


Research on characteristics and evolution mechanism of industrial robots trade network among the Belt and Road countries
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    摘要:

    基于2002—2019年双边贸易数据,分析“一带一路”工业机器人贸易网络特征及演化机制。研究发现:贸易网络存在区域异质性,呈现典型的“核心—边缘”空间结构。网络节点地位演化稳中有变,亚洲成为“一带一路”工业机器人贸易网络的核心,并形成以中国为枢纽的多极化格局。内生机制检验表明,互惠结构效应驱动节点对积极展开互惠贸易;负向扩张结构效应促使出度明星节点抑制依附节点数量的增加;传递闭合结构效应推动网络产生传递闭合三角,形成贸易集群;时间结构效应既保持贸易关系相对稳定,又促进新关系的形成。经济体量、工业就业占比、制造业技术水平和人力资本水平产生发送(接收)者效应,地理、语言和贸易组织邻近有利于促进贸易合作。“一带一路”倡议实施后,内生结构效应和节点趋同效应出现明显变化。

    Abstract:

    Based on the bilateral trade data from 2002 to 2019, this paper investigates the characteristics and evolution mechanism of the industrial robots trade network of the Belt and Road. The study finds that there exists regional heterogeneity in the trade network, showing a typical core-periphery structure. The node status of the network is evolving steadily while changing. Asia has developed into the “core” of the industrial robots trade network, and forms a multi-polarization pattern with China as the hub. The endogenous mechanism test shows that the reciprocity structure effect drives node pairs to actively engage in reciprocal trade; the negative expansion structure effect drives outdegree star nodes to inhibit the increase of dependent nodes; the transitive closure structure effect drives the network to produce transitive closure triangle, promoting the formation of trade clusters; the time dependence effect not only maintains the relative stability of trade relations, but also promotes the formation of new relations. The economy volume, industrial employment proportion, manufacturing technology level and human capital level have the sender (receiver) effect, Geographical, linguistic and trade organization proximity promote trade cooperation. Since the implementation of the Belt and Road Initiative, the endogenous structure effect and convergence effect of nodes have changed significantly.

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贺胜兵,许宸昊,周华蓉.“一带一路”工业机器人贸易网络特征及演化机制[J].中国软科学,2023,(6):43-55

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-08-24
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