京津冀城市群环境规制对就业规模影响
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F061.5

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河南省重点研发与推广专项(软科学)项目“河南省经济高质量发展视域下粮食生产的水资源时空匹配及优化路径研究”(232400411142)。


Impact of environmental regulation on employment scale in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration
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    摘要:

    环境与就业是新世纪城市发展绕不开的两个重要议题,聚焦京津冀城市群,基于2010—2021年京津冀城市群13个城市面板数据,采用固定效应、面板门槛和空间杜宾多种计量模型分析环境规制对就业规模的影响。结果发现:(1)京津冀城市群中,环境规制对就业呈现U型影响,因此应从发展的眼光看,长期坚持环境治理,才能突破就业规模提升的U型拐点;(2)截至2021年,京津冀城市群13个城市中的8个城市尚未跨过环境规制门槛,因此各城市环境规制政策应有针对性,促使劳动力在城市群内部进行流动,实现京津冀城市群就业规模的整体提升;(3)京津冀城市群内的环境规制对就业规模影响存在空间溢出效应,因此对于已经越过环境规制门槛的城市要持续加大环境规制力度,对于尚未越过环境规制门槛的城市要争取尽快突破拐点,同时加强各城市间环境治理技术的联系,达到京津冀城市群环境与就业共同发展的最终目的。

    Abstract:

    Environment and employment are two important issues in urban development in the new century. This paper focuses on the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration. Based on the panel data of 13 cities in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration from 2010 to 2021, this paper analyzes the impact of environmental regulations on employment scale by using fixed effect, panel threshold and spatial Dubin econometric models. The results show that: (1) In the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei city cluster, environmental regulation has a U-shaped impact on employment. Therefore, from the perspective of development, long-term environmental governance can break through the U-shaped inflection point of employment scale increase; (2) As of 2021, 8 out of the 13 cities in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei City cluster have not yet crossed the threshold of environmental regulation. Therefore, the environmental regulation policies of each city should be targeted to promote the flow of labor force within the city cluster and realize the overall increase of employment scale in the city cluster. (3) Environmental regulation in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei city cluster has a spatial spillover effect on the scale of employment. Therefore, for cities that have crossed the threshold of environmental regulation, it is necessary to continuously increase environmental regulation efforts, and for cities that have not yet crossed the threshold of environmental regulation, it is necessary to strive to break through the inflection point as soon as possible, and strengthen the connection of environmental governance technologies among cities. To achieve the ultimate goal of the joint development of environment and employment in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei city cluster.

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马赛,薛勇,黄钊坤.京津冀城市群环境规制对就业规模影响[J].中国软科学,2023,(9):171-181

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-07-29
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