农村发展电子商务促进了乡村创业吗:来自中国镇级面板数据的证据
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F325.3

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国家社会科学基金重大招标项目“新发展格局下长三角一体化大市场研究”(22&ZD066)。


Does rural e-commerce development promote rural entrepreneurship:Evidence from town-level panel data in China
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    摘要:

    激发乡村创业活力是激活乡村内生发展动力、进而促进乡村产业振兴的关键。基于2005—2018年中国32 457个乡镇平衡面板数据,采用交错DID方法,研究电子商务进农村综合示范县政策对乡村创业的因果效应。研究发现,这项政策主要通过提升农村居民数字化应用能力激发农村创业主体创业热情,活跃本地市场交易激发了潜在创业机会,打破地理距离对本地市场潜能的约束而促进了乡村创业。这项政策对西部和东北地区乡镇以及农业创业具有显著促进作用;对高铁开通区县、非国家级贫困县、农业机械化水平较高、创新水平较高县的乡镇,以及人口规模较大、地理坡度较低、人力资本水平较高的乡镇,其创业促进作用更大。传统金融增强了其作用效果。这项政策作用仅来自本县乡镇的创造效应,对其周围 0~40 km 范围内非试点县乡镇的创业活动既无虹吸、也无空间溢出。研究结果为电商助力乡村创业、激发乡村经济活力、促进乡村产业振兴提供了经验证据。

    Abstract:

    Stimulating rural entrepreneurship vitality is the key to activate rural endogenous development momentum and promote rural industrial revitalization. Based on the 32,457 balanced panel data at town level in China from 2005 to 2018 and using staggered DID method, this study empirically investigates the causal effect of “E-Commerce into the Rural Comprehensive Demonstration County Plan”on rural entrepreneurship. This study find that this plan mainly promotes rural entrepreneurship through three mechanisms: improving rural residents’ digital application ability,further stimulating the possible entrepreneurers’ bussiness start-up enthusiasm; activating local marketing transaction,further stimulating the potential entrepreneurial opportunities;breaking out the geographical distance constraints of the local market potential. We also find that it has more significant effect in western and northeastern regions, and agricultural entrepreneurship. It also has a greater promotion effect in those townships with larger population size,lower geographic slope,higher human capital level, also in those towns which belong to high-speed railway access counties,non-national poverty-stricken counties,higher agricultural mechanization level and innovation level counties. In addition,traditional finance enhances its effectiveness. Spatial effect analysis shows that this effect only came from the creation effect of the towns in the pilot counties,and there was no “siphon effect” and spatial spillover effect on the entrepreneurship activities of non-pilot county towns within 0~40km surrounding area of pilot county townships.This study provides empirical evidence for e-commerce to help rural entrepreneurship, stimulate rural vitality and further promote rural industrial revitalization.

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张学翠,刘修岩,王峤.农村发展电子商务促进了乡村创业吗:来自中国镇级面板数据的证据[J].中国软科学,2025,(3):89-102

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-06-09
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