数字乡村建设对粮食安全的影响研究:基于县域层面的实证分析
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F323.3

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国家社会科学基金青年项目“数字经济促进共同富裕的创造效应与分配效应的政治经济学研究”(24CJL004);国家资助博士后研究人员计划项目(GZC20241397)。


Study on the impact of digital rural development on food security: an empirical analysis at the county level
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    摘要:

    从数字技术效应和数字治理效应来分析数字乡村建设对粮食安全的直接赋能效应,从产业结构优化效应、农业科技创新效应、农民数字素养提升效应来探讨间接赋能机制,以此来构建数字乡村建设促进粮食安全的理论机制。基于此,采用2018—2022年1238个县的数据对其影响水平、作用机制、时空演变特征等进行实证检验。实证结果表明:数字乡村建设对粮食安全具有显著的积极效应,且该效应时间上具有“二次飞跃”特征,空间上存在极化效应,亟须政策予以扭转;从数字乡村建设的子维度来看,数字基础设施与数字治理具有明显的促进作用;产业结构优化和农业科技创新两条重要路径的作用已经凸显,农民数字素养提升带来的挤出效应大于其促进作用;从区域异质性来看,数字乡村对粮食安全的促进作用在长江经济带和粮食主产区表现得更为显著。

    Abstract:

    This paper analyzes the direct enabling effects of digital village construction on food security through digital technology and digital governance effects. It also explores indirect enabling mechanisms through the optimization of industrial structure, agricultural scientific and technological innovation, and the enhancement of farmers’ digital literacy, thereby constructing a theoretical mechanism for digital village construction to promote food security. Based on this, using data from 1,238 counties from 2018 to 2022, empirical tests are conducted on its impact level, mechanisms of action, and spatiotemporal evolution characteristics. The empirical results show that digital village construction has a significant positive effect on food security, characterized by a “second leap” over time and polarization effects in space, urgently requiring policy intervention. Looking at the sub-dimensions of digital village construction, digital infrastructure and digital governance play an obvious promoting role; the significant roles of industrial structure optimization and agricultural technological innovation are already evident, while the enhancement of farmers’ digital literacy has adverse effects; from the perspective of regional heterogeneity, the promotion effect of the digital economy on food security is more pronounced in the Yangtze River Economic Belt and major grain-producing areas.

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朱杰,彭浩瀚,张志,王军,高远卓.数字乡村建设对粮食安全的影响研究:基于县域层面的实证分析[J].中国软科学,2025,(5):79-91

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-06-03
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