China’s new energy vehicle industry has formed a first mover advantage globally, at present, the new energy vehicle industry of China is faced with the new challenges such as the crisis of price challenge, technological iteration and divers customers requirement. The purpose of this paper is to establish a mathematical model for the lifecycle of China’s automotive industry, based on the actual data of automotive from 2009 to 2024, analyzed the inherent laws of the development of the automotive industry, and proposes a high-quality development strategy for China’s new energy vehicle industry based on the industrial life cycle. This has certain reference value and significance to promote the stable transformation of the automotive industry and accelerating the formation of new productive forces in the automotive field.