劳动力老龄化、家庭行为与能源贫困
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C924.24; F206

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国家社会科学基金重大项目“区域协调发展视角下县域城乡融合发展的理论与政策研究”(23ZDA034)。


Labor aging, family behavior and energy poverty
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    摘要:

    采用2018年中国综合社会调查(CGSS)数据,运用计量模型实证探究劳动力老龄化对居民家庭能源贫困的影响及作用机制。结果发现,劳动力老龄化显著增加了居民家庭陷入能源贫困的风险。机制分析表明,劳动力老龄化通过改变居民家庭的消费行为和就业行为,进而影响居民家庭陷入能源贫困的可能性。而养老保险政策以及“煤改气”或“煤改电”等清洁能源政策在老龄化对能源贫困的影响中发挥显著调节效应。异质性分析中,拥有较高受教育水平的受访者所在家庭及高收入家庭在老龄化影响下陷入能源贫困的概率更小。在不同地区特征下,老龄化对能源贫困的影响也具有显著差异。研究结果对有效应对老龄化威胁,缓解能源贫困问题及实现共同富裕目标具有积极意义。

    Abstract:

    Using data from the 2018 Chinese General Social Survey (CGSS), this paper empirically explores the impact and mechanism of labor ageing on residential household energy poverty using an econometric model. It is found that labor ageing significantly increases the risk of residential households falling into energy poverty. Mechanism analysis shows that labor ageing affects the probability of households falling into energy poverty by changing their consumption and employment behavior. Pension insurance policies and clean energy policies such as “coal-to-gas” or “coal-to-electricity” exert significant moderating effects on the relationship between aging and energy poverty. Heterogeneity analysis reveals that households with higher educational levels and higher incomes exhibit a lower probability of falling into energy poverty under the influence of ageing. Moreover, the impact of ageing on energy poverty varies significantly across different regional characteristics. This paper holds positive significance for effectively addressing the challenges of ageing, alleviating energy poverty, and achieving the goal of common prosperity.

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沈金龙,程名望,杨未然.劳动力老龄化、家庭行为与能源贫困[J].中国软科学,2025,(9):12-24

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-06-02
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