长期护理保险对健康劳动年限的影响:基于CHARLS数据的实证研究
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F842.0;R161

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国家社会科学基金规划项目(24BJY069)。


Preparing for the future: the impact of long term care insurance on health work life expectancy: an empirical study based on CHARLS
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    摘要:

    基于中国健康与养老追踪调查(CHARLS)2013年、2015年、2018年和2020年4期数据,深入探讨长期护理保险(LTCI)对中老年个体健康工作预期寿命(HWLE)的影响。研究采用希克斯分解理论、健康改善效应和财务安全假说等作为理论基础,通过构建双重差分模型(DID)和三重差分模型(DDD),实证分析LTCI政策的效果。研究发现,LTCI政策的实施显著提升了45岁以上中老年人的HWLE。具体而言,LTCI覆盖群体的HWLE比其他群体平均增加2.3年。这一结果通过了平行趋势等一系列稳健性检验,表明LTCI不仅降低了健康风险导致的提前退休风险,还通过提供心理保障和财务安全,促进了中老年人的健康老龄化和劳动力市场参与。

    Abstract:

    This article is based on four periods of data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) in 2013, 2015, 2018, and 2020, and explores in depth the impact of Long-Term Care Insurance (LTCI) on the Health Work Life Expectancy (HWLE) of middle-aged and elderly individuals. The study adopts Hicks decomposition theory, health improvement effect, and financial security hypothesis as theoretical foundations, and empirically analyzes the effectiveness of LTCI policies by constructing double difference models (DID) and triple difference models (DDD). The study found that the implementation of LTCI policy significantly improved the HWLE of middle-aged and elderly people aged 45 and above. Specifically, the HWLE of the LTCI coverage group increased by an average of 2.3 years compared to other groups. This result has passed a series of robustness tests such as parallel trends, indicating that LTCI not only reduces the risk of early retirement caused by health risks, but also promotes the healthy aging and labor market participation of middle-aged and elderly people by providing psychological and financial security.

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于翔宇,田玲,王正文.长期护理保险对健康劳动年限的影响:基于CHARLS数据的实证研究[J].中国软科学,2025,(9):66-78

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-06-02
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