教育科技人才耦合协调度的时空特征、互动关系和影响因素研究
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C964.2;G521;G322

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国家社会科学基金重点项目“新时代全方位培养引进用好人才的国际经验及战略体系构建研究”(22AZD025)。


Research on the spatiotemporal characteristics, interactive relationships and influencing factors of the coupling coordination degree of education, science and technology, and talent
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    摘要:

    教育科技人才一体发展是经济高质量发展和科技自立自强的基础支撑。本文基于2011—2022年中国276个城市的面板数据,系统分析我国教育科技人才耦合协调度的时空特征、互动关系和影响因素。研究发现:第一,教育科技人才的耦合协调度总体处于上升趋势,但仍处于颉颃阶段,三系统协同水平有待提升,科技子系统发展水平最高、增速最快,但未能与耦合协调度实现同步增长;第二,空间收敛性分析显示,教育科技人才耦合协调度存在显著的绝对β收敛和条件β收敛,意味着教育科技人才耦合协调度的空间差异将收敛至稳态;第三,面板向量自回归分析显示,教育是科技和人才的单向格兰杰原因,教育子系统对科技和人才子系统具有正向脉冲影响,表明教育是科技与人才发展的基础驱动力;第四,影响因素分析显示,高校数量、专精特新企业数量和科研综合技术服务业从业人员数量是驱动耦合协调度提升的关键因素,验证了创新主体协同对于教育科技人才耦合协调度提升的重要性。研究结论为提升教育科技人才一体发展水平提供了参考依据。

    Abstract:

    Based on panel data from 276 cities in China from 2011 to 2022, this paper systematically analyzes the spatiotemporal characteristics, interactive relationships, and influencing factors of the coupling coordination degree of education, science and technology, and talent. The main research findings are as follows: First, the coupling coordination degree of education, science and technology, and talent is generally on an upward trend but remains in the developmental stage, with the level of synergy among the three systems needing improvement. Among them, the development level of the science and technology subsystem is the highest and has the fastest growth. However, it has not achieved synchronized growth with the coupling coordination degree. Second, the spatial convergence analysis shows significant absolute β convergence and conditional β convergence in the coupling coordination degree of education, science and technology, and talent, indicating that spatial differences in the coupling coordination degree of education, science and technology, and talent will converge to a steady state. Third, the analysis of panel vector autoregression shows that education is a unidirectional Granger cause of technology and talents, with the education subsystem having a positive impulse effect on the technology, and talent subsystems, suggesting that education is the fundamental driving force behind the development of technology and talent. Fourth, the analysis of influencing factors indicates that the number of universities, the number of specialized and innovative enterprises, and the number of employees in the comprehensive scientific research and technical service industry are key factors driving the improvement of the coupling coordination degree, validating the importance of cooperative innovation entities for the integrated development of education, science and technology, and talent. This paper provides reference for optimizing the integrated development level of education, technology, and talents.

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黄海刚,张伊华.教育科技人才耦合协调度的时空特征、互动关系和影响因素研究[J].中国软科学,2025,(11):213-224

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-06-01
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