复杂风险情境下关键产业备份何以可能
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F062.9

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研究阐释党的二十届三中全会精神国家社会科学基金重大专项“构建高水平社会主义市场经济体制的主要内涵、标准体系和实践路径研究”(24ZDA007);北京市社会科学基金重点项目“基于算法的数据资本垄断及其规制研究”(23KDA006)。


How is it possible to backup key industries in a complex risk situation
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    摘要:

    未来的国际竞争不仅是生产效率之争,更是危机响应速度、冗余资源调度、产业备份能力的复合博弈。当系统复杂性超越治理容量,就会产生复杂风险。复杂风险情境下,关键产业备份不是简单的产业链替代方案,而是国家战略意志的物质化载体和权力投射枢纽。在关键产业备份中,国家安全能力的形塑通过国家动员机制来衡量,具体分解为集中激活机制、纵深穿透机制和动态迭代机制。中国关键产业的备份,将以全国统一大市场助推构建空间备份梯度分工格局、以数智技术跃迁助推构建技术—备份双向驱动的螺旋共生、以高水平对外开放助推构建中国备份范式的全球接口来实现。

    Abstract:

    The future international competition is not only a competition for production efficiency, but also a complex game of crisis response speed, redundant resource scheduling, and industrial backup capabilities. When the complexity of the system exceeds the governance capacity, a complex risk will occur. In the context of complex risk, the backup of key industries is not a simple replacement of the industrial chain, but a material carrier and power projection hub of the national strategic will. In the backup of key industries, the shaping of national security capabilities is measured through the national mobilization mechanism, which is specifically decomposed into centralized activation mechanism, deep penetration mechanism, and dynamic iteration mechanism. The backup of key industries in China will be realized by a unified national market to build a spatial backup gradient division of labor pattern, by the leap of digital intelligence technology to build a technology backup two-way driven spiral symbiosis, and by high-level opening up to the outside world to build a global interface for China’s backup paradigm.

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程恩富,范昕若.复杂风险情境下关键产业备份何以可能[J].中国软科学,2026,(1):194-203

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-05-18
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