面向未来产业的系统性科技战略管理:内涵、例证及路径优化
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F204

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国家社会科学基金重大项目“国家创新体系整体效能提升的关键问题研究”(23&ZD131);浙江省软科学研究计划重大项目“统筹推进教育科技人才体制机制一体改革重大问题研究”(2025C15009);国家自然科学基金委专项项目“原创性研究的内涵界定及国际比较”(L25240112);国家社会科学基金社科学术社团学术研究重点项目“统筹推进教育科技人才体制机制一体改革的实现路径研究”(24GB001)。


Systemic science and technology strategic management for future industries: Conceptual foundations, case illustration, and path optimization
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    摘要:

    未来产业培育是一项复杂的系统性工程,其底层逻辑在于技术周期、市场环境和制度供给的深度交织与动态适配。系统性科技战略管理的核心在于发挥政府在创新全链条中的战略引导作用,促进科技创新成果向市场产品和未来产业转化。在技术路径与市场环境高度不确定性的情境下,政府科技战略管理必须坚持系统观念,实现动态适配与资源统筹。本文解构系统性科技战略管理的内涵框架,阐释从探索性战略制定到战略全面实施,再到战略评估与迭代的全周期管理体系,进而以机器人产业为例证,揭示其驱动未来产业发展的场景演进逻辑。在此基础上,本文提出在科技战略管理体系中强化重大需求前置、优化跨部门跨主体协同、健全过程性反馈等制度改进路径,以期为加快未来产业发展提供支持。

    Abstract:

    The cultivation of future industries is a complex systemic undertaking whose underlying logic lies in the deep interplay and dynamic adaptation among technology cycles, market environments, and institutional supply. The core of systemic science and technology (S&T) strategic management is to leverage the government’s strategic guiding role across the full innovation chain, promoting the transformation of S&T innovation outcomes into market products and future industries. Under conditions of high uncertainty in technological pathways and market environments, governmental S&T strategic management must uphold a systems perspective and achieve dynamic adaptation and coordinated resource allocation. This paper deconstructs the conceptual framework of systemic S&T strategic management, elaborates a full-cycle management system extending from exploratory strategy formulation to comprehensive strategy implementation and iterative strategy evaluation, and then uses the robotics industry as an example to reveal the scenario-evolution logic through which it drives the development of future industries. On this basis, the paper proposes institutional improvement pathways within the S&T strategic management system, including strengthening the front-end positioning of major demands, optimizing cross-departmental and multi-actor coordination, and improving process-oriented feedback mechanisms, with a view to supporting the accelerated development of future industries.

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吴伟,冯家浩,朱相丽,杨波.面向未来产业的系统性科技战略管理:内涵、例证及路径优化[J].中国软科学,2026,(6):46-58

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-08-02
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