中国县域城乡融合发展的统计测度、动态演进及驱动机制研究
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F299.2

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国家社会科学基金重点项目“数字经济赋能区域协调发展的理论机制与实现路径研究”(24AJL008);国家社会科学基金项目“县域城乡融合发展的实现机制与路径优化研究”(24BJL055)。


Research on statistical measurement, dynamic evolution and driving mechanism of county-level urban-rural integrated development in China
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    摘要:

    城乡融合发展是中国式现代化的必然要求,而中国城乡融合发展的关键和重点在县域。本文构建县域城乡融合发展评价指标体系,测度2015—2023年我国1 451个县域的城乡融合发展水平,分析其区域差异、动态演进特征及驱动机制。研究发现:我国县域城乡融合发展水平整体上升,空间上呈东部和中部高、西部和东北低的梯度格局,中部、西部地区年均增速快于东部、东北地区;东部地区内部分化情况加剧,中部、西部地区内部分化程度较小;地区间差异主要集中在东部与东北、东部与西部之间,中部、西部和东北之间差异相对较小。从全国层面来看,市场化、农业现代化、工业化、政府行为均对县域城乡融合发展具有显著促进作用,但影响强度依次递减,其在东部、中部、西部和东北地区的作用效果存在明显异质性。因此,发挥有为政府的作用,实施差异化区域经济政策,推进市场化、工业化与农业现代化协同发展,是推动我国县域城乡融合迈向更高质量发展的有效途径。

    Abstract:

    Rural-urban integration development is an inevitable requirement of Chinese modernization,and the key and focus of China’s rural-urban integration development lies in the county-level units.This paper constructs an evaluation index system for county-level rural-urban integration development,measures the level of rural-urban integration development in 1 451 counties in China from 2015 to 2023,and analyzes its regional differences,dynamic evolution characteristics,and driving mechanisms.The study finds that: The overall level of county-level rural-urban integration development in China has increased,presenting a spatial gradient pattern of “high in the eastern and central regions,and low in the western and northeastern regions”.The average annual growth rates in the central and western regions are faster than those in the eastern and northeastern regions; internal differentiation in the eastern region has intensified,while the degree of internal differentiation in the central and western regions is relatively small; inter-regional differences are mainly concentrated between the eastern and northeastern regions,as well as between the eastern and western regions,while the differences among the central,western,and northeastern regions are relatively small.At the national level,marketization,agricultural modernization,industrialization,and government behavior all play a significant role in promoting county-level rural-urban integration development,but their influence intensity decreases in turn,with obvious heterogeneity in their effects across the eastern,central,western,and northeastern regions.Therefore,giving play to the role of a proactive government,implementing differentiated regional economic policies,and promoting the coordinated development of marketization,industrialization,and agricultural modernization are effective ways to promote the high-quality development of county-level rural-urban integration in China.

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王必达,王义龙,赵永平.中国县域城乡融合发展的统计测度、动态演进及驱动机制研究[J].中国软科学,2026,(6):113-127

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-08-02
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