京津冀协同发展战略带动外围地区经济增长了吗:基于城市群空间溢出效应的分析
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F061.5

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2022年度国家社会科学基金重点项目“京津冀协同发展重大区域战略实施效果综合评估与政策优化研究”(22AJL003)。


Has the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei coordinated development strategy driven economic growth in peripheral areas:Evidence from the spatial spillover effects of urban agglomerations
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    摘要:

    促进区域联动发展,形成更大协同发展效应是我国“十五五”期间区域经济发展的重要任务。京津冀协同发展作为区域重大战略要增强对环渤海地区和北方腹地的辐射带动。基于2009—2023年环渤海地区地级市数据,运用空间双重差分模型检验了京津冀协同发展战略对外围地区的带动效应。研究发现:京津冀协同发展战略显著促进了外围地区的经济增长,且存在随地理距离的增加而衰减的空间溢出效应,现阶段京津冀的带动范围主要在距离城市群边缘250 km的地区,即以乌兰察布、赤峰、大连、菏泽、晋城为顶点的五边形范围。与北京或天津的单核心城市的带动效应相比,京津冀城市群整体的带动范围更大。进一步研究证明,京津冀协同发展战略通过强化城市群内外经济联系、科技成果转化和产业转移有效带动了外围地区经济发展,城市群形成功能多中心结构更有利于放大带动效应。基于此,提出科学精准规划城市群范围、构建城市群多中心结构、全面畅通要素流动通道等对策建议。

    Abstract:

    Promoting regional coordination and strengthening inter-regional linkages are key tasks for China’s regional development during the 15th Five-Year Plan period. As a major regional strategy, the coordinated development of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region aims to enhance the radiating capacity of the urban agglomeration and promote the development of the Bohai Rim and the northern hinterland. Based on prefecture-level panel data from the Bohai Rim during 2009—2023, this paper employs a spatial difference-in-differences model to evaluate the spillover effects of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei coordinated development strategy on peripheral areas. The results show that the strategy significantly promotes economic growth in peripheral areas and generates spatial spillovers that decline with increasing geographical distance. The effective driving range is mainly concentrated within 250 km of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration, approximately forming a pentagonal area with Ulanqab, Chifeng, Dalian, Heze, and Jincheng as its vertices. Compared with Beijing or Tianjin as individual cores, the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration as a whole exhibits a broader driving effect. Mechanism analysis indicates that the strategy promotes peripheral economic growth through strengthened economic linkages, technology transfer, and industrial relocation. A functional polycentric urban structure further enhances these diffusion effects. Based on these findings, this paper suggests optimizing the spatial scope of policy implementation, improving the polycentric spatial network, and strengthening channels for factor mobility.

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李博雅,宋钰钰,安树伟,邢干.京津冀协同发展战略带动外围地区经济增长了吗:基于城市群空间溢出效应的分析[J].中国软科学,2026,(9):113-126

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-10-23
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