国家城乡融合发展试验区改革对县域经济韧性的影响研究
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F303.3

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国家社会科学基金重大项目“城乡融合与新发展格局战略联动的内在机理与实现路径研究”(21&ZD084)


Research on the impact of the reform of national pilot zones for integrated urbanrural development on the resilience of county economies
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    摘要:

    本文基于2005—2024年877个区县面板数据,以国家城乡融合发展试验区改革为准自然实验,采用双重差分法考察改革对县域经济韧性的影响。结果表明:改革显著提升县域经济韧性,且在数字基础较好、电商水平高及创新能力强的县域效果更突出;城乡融合质量越高,提升效应越强;抵抗恢复、适应调节及转型发展能力均增强,尤以转型能力最显著;改革还具有正向空间溢出效应,带动邻近县域协同提升。

    Abstract:

    This paper, based on the panel data of 877 districts and counties from 2005 to 2024, takes the reform of the national urbanrural integration development pilot zone as a quasinatural experiment and uses the differentindifferences method to investigate the impact of the reform on the resilience of county economies The results show that the reform significantly enhances the resilience of countylevel economies, and the effect is more prominent in counties with a better digital foundation, a high level of ecommerce and strong innovation capabilities The higher the quality of urbanrural integration, the stronger the enhancing effect The capabilities of resistance and recovery, adaptation and regulation, as well as transformation and development have all been enhanced, with the transformation capability being the most remarkable The reform also has a positive spatial spillover effect, driving the coordinated improvement of neighboring counties

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杨玉珍,唐明富,刘毅然.国家城乡融合发展试验区改革对县域经济韧性的影响研究[J].中国软科学,2026,(2):97-109

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-04-29
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