适时与适度:人工智能监管的理论框架构建及政策路径选择
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TP18;D922.17

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中国宏观经济研究院(国家发展和改革委员会宏观经济研究院)2025年基本经费研究课题;中国博士后科学基金第77批面上项目(2025M773676)


Right timing, right intensity: Constructing a theoretical framework for AI regulation and policy pathways
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    摘要:

    针对人工智能技术非线性演化、跨域渗透引发的“监管时机困境”与“强度失准风险”等治理赤字,传统静态、线性的监管范式已难以适配,深陷科林格里奇悖论所揭示的“控制困境”。本文构建“适时性与适度性”耦合的动态治理框架。基于颠覆性技术监管轨迹梳理与欧盟、美国、英国、中国比较,发现“信息不足、控制受限”仍为关键约束,单纯预防或放任均难适配。进而提出以社会渗透率和场景敏感性触发三阶段滚动介入,并以比例原则形成四级风险工具箱,配套评测审计、责任链条及国际程序互认,实现创新与安全的动态均衡。

    Abstract:

    The rapid, nonlinear evolution and crossdomain penetration of artificial intelligence (AI) have precipitated significant governance deficits, manifesting as “timing dilemmas” for regulatory intervention and “miscalibrated intensity risks” These challenges expose the limitations of traditional static and linear regulatory paradigms, trapping them within the “control dilemma” articulated by the Collingridge dilemma This paper constructs a dynamic governance framework predicated on the coupling of temporality and proportionality Through a historical analysis of disruptive technology regulation and a comparative study of the European Union, the United States, the United Kingdom, and China, the research identifies persistent key constraints: insufficient information and limited control, rendering purely precautionary or laissezfaire approaches inadequate Consequently, the paper proposes a threestage rolling intervention mechanism triggered by social penetration rate and contextual sensitivity, alongside a fourtier riskcalibrated toolkit grounded in the principle of proportionality This framework is supported by complementary measures such as evaluation and auditing systems, clear accountability chains, and international procedural mutual recognition, aiming to achieve a dynamic equilibrium between fostering innovation and ensuring safety

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魏巍,冯翼,刘蕾.适时与适度:人工智能监管的理论框架构建及政策路径选择[J].中国软科学,2026,(2):210-224

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-04-29
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