迈向消费品统一大市场:基于价格溢出视角的消费品市场一体化水平测度与分析
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山东财经大学

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高质量发展背景下黄河流域生态福利绩效的空间格局及协同提升路径研究


Towards a unified large market for consumer goods: Measurement and analysis of the level of consumer goods market integration based on the perspective of price spillover
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School of Economics, Shandong University of Finance and Economics

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    摘要:

    消费是畅通国内大循环的重要引擎,考察价格信息溢出视角下的消费品市场一体化水平,对于完善价格调控政策、增强发展内生动力和建设全国统一大市场具有重要意义。本文基于2016年1月至2022年7月中国省份和城市的居民消费价格总指数及细分消费价格指数,采用非线性Granger因果关系检验、滚动窗口技术、社会网络分析等方法,首次从空间和结构双重视角测度并分析消费品市场一体化水平。研究发现:第一,消费品市场整体和八大类消费品市场均呈现“全国价格一张网”的空间一体化联动特征。其中,全国交通通信、医疗保健和生活用品市场的空间一体化水平较高,衣着、居住和教育文化市场较低。此外,东中西、南北各消费品市场的空间一体化特征与全国基本一致。第二,全国消费价格的部门间溢出关系普遍存在,形成了八个消费部门间价格一体化联动网络,各省份、城市消费品市场呈现不同程度的结构一体化特征。就区域市场而言,东中西部消费品市场的结构一体化水平依次递减,南方高于北方,京津冀、长江经济带、长三角和粤港澳明显高于黄河流域。研究结论旨在提升消费品市场空间和结构一体化水平,助力国内消费品统一大市场建设。

    Abstract:

    Consumption is an important engine to smooth the domestic great cycle, and examining the level of market integration of consumer goods from the perspective of price information spillover is of great significance for improving price control policies, enhancing the internal power of development and building a unified national large market. Based on the total consumer price index and subdivision consumer price index of provinces and cities in China from January 2016 to July 2022, this paper adopts nonlinear Granger causality test, rolling window technology, social network analysis and other methods to measure and analyze the integration level of consumer goods market from both spatial and structural perspectives for the first time. The research findings are as follows: First, the overall consumer goods market and the eight categories of consumer goods market show the spatial integration linkage characteristics of "national price one network". Among them, the national transportation and communication, medical care and daily necessities market has a high level of spatial integration, and the clothing, housing, education, culture and entertainment market is low. In addition, the spatial integration characteristics of East, West, North and south consumer goods markets are basically consistent with the whole country. Second, the inter-departmental spillover relationship of consumer prices is widespread in the country, forming a price integration linkage network among eight consumer departments, and the consumer goods market in various provinces and cities presents different degrees of structural integration characteristics. In terms of regional markets, the structural integration level of consumer goods markets in the east, central and western regions is decreasing successively, the south is higher than the north, and the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, the Yangtze River Economic Belt, the Yangtze River Delta and Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao are significantly higher than the Yellow River basin. The research conclusion aims to improve the spatial and structural integration level of consumer goods market and help the construction of a unified large market for domestic consumer goods.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-08-22
  • 最后修改日期:2024-08-22
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