农村发展电子商务促进了乡村创业吗?——来自中国镇级面板数据的证据
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1.东南大学经济与管理学院、兰州理工大学经济与管理学院;2.东南大学经济与管理学院、东南大学国家发展与政策研究院;3.暨南大学产业经济研究院

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国家社会科学基金重大招标项目“新发展格局下长三角一体化大市场研究”(22&ZD066)


Does rural e-commerce development promote rural entrepreneurship:Evidence from town-level panel data in China
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1.School of Economics and Management,Southeast University;2.School of Economics and Managemen,Lanzhou University of Technology;3.National School of Development and Policy,Southeast University;4.Institute of Industrial Economics,Jinan University

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    摘要:

    激发乡村创业活力是激活乡村内生发展动力、进而促进乡村产业振兴的关键。本文基于2005-2018年中国32457个乡镇平衡面板数据,采用交错DID方法,实证研究了电子商务进农村综合示范县政策对乡村创业的因果效应。研究发现,该政策主要通过提升农村居民数字应用能力激发了农村创业主体创业热情、活跃了本地市场交易激发了潜在创业机会和打破了地理距离对本地市场潜能的约束三条机制促进了乡村创业。异质性分析发现,该政策对西部和东北地区乡镇以及农业创业具有显著促进作用;对高铁开通区县、非国家级贫困县乡镇、人口规模较大、地理坡度较低、人力资本水平较高乡镇以及农业机械化水平较高、创新水平较高的区县乡镇创业促进作用更大。调节效应分析发现,传统金融增强了其作用效果。空间效应分析发现,且该政策作用仅来自本县乡镇的创造效应,对其周围0-40km范围内非试点县乡镇的创业活动既没有虹吸效应、也没有空间溢出效应。本研究为电商助力乡村创业、进而促进乡村产业振兴提供了经验证据。

    Abstract:

    Stimulating rural entrepreneurship vitality is the key to activate endogenous development momentum in rural areas and promote rural industrial revitalization. Based on the balanced panel data of 32,457 townships in China from 2005 to 2018 and using the staggered DID method, this study empirically investigates the causal effect of “E-Commerce into the Rural Comprehensive Demonstration County Plan” on rural entrepreneurship. This study found that this plan mainly promoted rural entrepreneurship through three mechanisms: improving rural residents' digital application ability,further stimulating the possible entrepreneurers’ bussiness start-up enthusiasm; activating local marketing transaction,further stimulating the potential entrepreneurial opportunities;breaking the geographical distance constraints of the local market potential. Heterogeneity analysis found that this plan has a more significant entrepreneurship promoting effect on townships in western and northeastern regions, as well as on agricultural entrepreneurship. It has a greater entrepreneurship promoting effect on townships with high-speed railway access counties,non-national poverty-stricken counties,larger population size, lower geographic slope,higher human capital level,and higher agricultural mechanization and innovation levels counties.In addition,moderation analysis found that traditional finance enhanced its effectiveness.Spatial effect analysis found that the plan's effect only came from the creation effect of the townships in the pilot counties,and there was no "siphon effect" or spatial spillover effect on the entrepreneurship activities of non-pilot county townships within the 0-40km surrounding area of pilot county townships.This study provides empirical evidence for e-commerce to help rural entrepreneurship and further promote rural industrial revitalization.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-09-14
  • 最后修改日期:2024-09-14
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